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Swiss franc (CHF) is currently 60% overvalued to USD as measured by PPP, visit currency index for currency info.

Over the last 5 months, the CHF currency valuation has fallen from the 90 percent overvaluation to the USD to the current 60 percent valuation as measured by purchasing power parity. This is a significant haircut in valuation for a currency widely recognized for its historical safe haven mystique.

Thursday, November 3, 2011

Spectacular Rise and Fall of the Swiss Franc (CHF)

Over the last few months, the Swiss franc valuation has taken a wild ride at the amusement park. During the height of the Euro crisis in August 2011, their was a significant currency hot money move towards safe haven currencies whereby the Swiss franc was one of the biggest beneficiaries. The CHF peaked at 1.37 USD to buy 1 CHF, today this valuation sits closer to 1.12 USD.

The party came to an end when the Swiss authorities in September 2011 capped the CHF valuation to a level of 1.2 CHF to the Euro (EUR) which resulted in a spectacular 25 cent US correction. But is the hangover from the party over? Purchasing power parity suggest the CHF is still the most overvalued industrialized currency in the world today in relation to the USD with a 72% overvaluation for the CHF.

The Swiss National Bank, the country's central bank has signaled strong intentions to prevent another hot money run on the CHF as a fast dramatic rise in the Swiss franc greatly harms Swiss exports. With Swiss interest rates close to zero and deposit accounts paying 0.5% to 2% for various terms, one may want to take a look at the CHF currency moves as it has shown tremendous price volatility.

Tuesday, June 7, 2011

Update - Purchasing Power Parity on Selective Currencies

As of June 6, 2011, here is an eye opening snapshot on the state of some major industrialized currencies:

As measured by purchasing power parity in relation to the US dollar (USD)

Overvaluation exists for the following:

Swiss franc (CHF) at 81 percent
Norwegian krone (NOK) at 70 percent
Australian dollar (AUD) at 64 percent
Swedish krone (SEK) at 45 percent
Japanese yen (JPY) at 38 percent

Currency undervaluation:

Russian ruble is 42 percent undervalued to the USD
Mexican peso at 33 percent

So, if you are an American tourist, you may want to look at Mexico and Russia as countries to visit as many other countries even including the Eurozone is pricey at today's currency valuations.

Friday, February 25, 2011

The Impact of Interest Rates on Currency Rates

We permission from a very helpful currency portal, we post the following compliments of the following web site:

The Advantages of Currency Trading

People usually carry credit cards or prepaid cards but still there is a dire need to stack up some cash in the wallet. In case the ATM is not working or In case there are some technical problems in accessing the respective card and so on, there are many unplanned things which may jeopardize the comforts and luxuries of your travel .

While exchanging the currency you may be lured by the signs like "Commission free exchange" which in many cases is nothing but a sweetener . You may well be manipulated in ways that may provide you with not so good rate. You can do two things, either you do not go to these agencies or if you go then ensure that you are well aware of the existing value of your currency in the concerned country which can help in negotiating. It is feasible to look for those companies that charge any commission as they may give you a rate that provide best value for the cash .

Many fundamental factors determine the supply and demand for a particular currency and its value against other currencies . Among these factors are interest rates. Central banks are the institutions that set the base rates in a country and change their levels to streamline the development of the local economy. Increasing the interest rate will result will in raising value of the nation’s currency while lowering interest rates should have the opposite effect, respectively .

Financial dictionaries describe currency depreciation as a process when a currency loses its value against another currency or basket of currencies. In such cases, more units of a local currency are needed to purchase the foreign currency i.e. if one British pound was able to purchase two U.S. dollars on a few years ago and now you receive 1.6 U.S. dollars for one British pound, then the pound has depreciated. Depreciation is a process driven by market forces and all fluctuations of currency rates reflect the present market conditions, forming the market value of a particular currency pair .

The currency depreciation can effect positively the overall economic development, though. It boosts competitiveness through lower export costs and secures more income from exported goods in a similar way devaluation does . On the contrary, depreciation makes imports more expensive and discourages purchases of imported goods stimulating demand for domestically manufactured goods. The governments worldwide influence appreciation and depreciation utilising the powerful tool of the base interest rates, which are usually set by the country's central bank and this tool is often used to intentionally depreciate the currency rates to encourage exports .